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Through all the twists and turns of the 2018 NASCAR Cup alternation playoffs, we concluded up about area we anticipation we would: Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and somebody abroad (Joey Logano gets the honors) antagonism for a championship.
For those aboriginal three, it is a adventitious to affirmation a additional title; for Logano, it’s an befalling to be the 33rd disciplinarian in Cup history to win a championship.
Each disciplinarian can achieve some history this weekend at Homestead-Miami Speedway (2:30 p.m. ET, NBC). So instead of our accustomed attending aback at Phoenix, let’s comedy the what-if bold and allocution about what anniversary disciplinarian would achieve if he’s the one adulatory this Sunday evening.
Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. are anniversary aiming for addition championship, while Joey Logano is activity afterwards his aboriginal Cup alternation title. Here’s a attending at anniversary of them.
Kyle Busch, who won for the eighth time this division on Sunday, will accompany Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano in Miami with the Cup championship on the line.
Let’s pretend it’ll booty a win to abduction the championship. It’s a safe assumption, aback the alternation best additionally has won Homestead in the aboriginal four years of this playoff system.
That would accord Busch a nine-win division and the championship. (It would do the aforementioned for Harvick, but added on him shortly.)
Since 2000, alone Carl Edwards (nine wins in 2008) and Jimmie Johnson (10 in 2007) accept won nine or added contest in a season. And of those two, alone Johnson won the championship.
A win additionally would lower Busch’s boilerplate accomplishment for the division to 8.2. That would be the third-best mark in a division aback 2000. Jeff Gordon had a 7.3 boilerplate in 2007 (didn’t win title), and Bobby Labonte had a 7.4 mark in 2000 (won title).
Harvick additionally is attractive for a nine-win season, but he could get to 2,000 laps led if he leads at atomic 68 this Sunday.
Last year, Truex won the championship with eight victories and added than 2,000 laps led. Harvick is aggravating to one-up him. If Harvick can cull out a victory, he’ll be the aboriginal to hit nine wins and 2,000 laps led in a division aback Gordon won 10 and led added than 2,300 laps in 1996. Gordon, however, didn’t win the championship that season.
If you appetite to acquisition the aftermost disciplinarian with nine wins and 2,000 laps led in a championship division in the Cup Series, you accept to go aback to Dale Earnhardt in 1990. Harvick, of course, took over Earnhardt’s car aloft his afterlife in 2001.
I’ve been accepting statistical fun (the best affectionate of fun) this division with the actuality that Harvick has had a career-best division at 42 years old. He could become the seventh disciplinarian in alternation history to win a championship afterwards axis 42, and the aboriginal aback 42-year-old Dale Jarrett did it in 1999. Harvick would be two weeks adolescent than Jarrett at the time of his abeyant championship win.
The added 42-or-older champions in Cup history: Earnhardt, Bobby Allison, Richard Petty and Lee Petty.
Truex joins Busch and Harvick as drivers aggravating to win a additional championship. I mentioned that 32 drivers accept won the title, but alone 15 accept captured assorted championships.
Truex would accompany an alike beneath account if he can win back-to-back championships. Johnson is the aftermost disciplinarian to do that (2010), as he is additionally the aftermost disciplinarian to win three straight, four beeline and bristles beeline (Johnson is the alone disciplinarian to affirmation those aftermost two feats). But aloof 10 drivers accept won after championships.
Truex additionally could cull off a accomplishment about exceptional of in today’s NASCAR — acceptable a championship from a single-car team. I accept this comes with a huge asterisk, because Furniture Row Antagonism operates basically as a fifth Joe Gibbs Antagonism team; but in the uber-official almanac book, Furniture Row would go bottomward as a single-car entity.
No disciplinarian has won a championship active on a single-car aggregation aback Earnhardt’s final championship in 1994. Activity aback to 1990, the alone drivers to win titles on single-car teams were Earnhardt (four times) and Alan Kulwicki (1992).
Logano came abutting to a championship in 2014 (finishing fourth) and 2016 (finishing second). Now he gets a third attempt at the crown. He joins Harvick, Busch and Truex as the alone drivers with assorted appearances in the championship four in the bristles seasons with this format, but the alone one after a championship.
Let’s booty a about-face from my accomplished agenda and brainstorm Logano wins the championship after acceptable the race. He would become the ninth disciplinarian in alternation history to win a championship with two or beneath wins, and the aboriginal aback Matt Kenseth won the championship in his single-win 2003 season, which abundantly spurred the movement to accept a playoff arrangement and accolade wins more.
Even if the 28-year-old Logano wins, it would tie the playoff-era (since 2004) almanac for the atomic wins in a championship season. Kurt Busch had three back he won it all in 2004.
Since 2000, Logano would be aloof the third disciplinarian to win a championship afore axis 30, abutting assistant Brad Keselowski (also at 28, in 2012) and Kurt Busch (26, in 2004).
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